No, India Will Not Become a Muslim Country
Many think that Muslims don’t adopt birth control and they keep increasing in population because of which one day India will become a Muslim nation. What is the truth?
1. According the Government Population Census conducted in 2011, Muslim population growth recorded a 20-year low in 2011, falling to 24.6% from 32.8% in 1991.
2. The fertility rate for Indian Muslim women fell from 4.1 in 1991 to 3.4 in 2011.
3. The decadal population growth rates (10-year growth rates) of both Hindus and Muslims are declining.
| 1991 | 2001 | 2011 | |
| Hindus | 22.7% | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| Muslims | 32.8% | 29.5% | 24.6% |
Note: From 1951 to 1961, the Muslim population grew at 11% more than India’s overall growth rate BUT from in the latest trend between 2001 and 2011, the growth rate has reduced to just 7%.
Will India Become a Muslim Majority Country?
National Family Health Survey (NFHS) Data reveals that the Total Fertility Rate for Muslims is declining.
The total fertility rate, defined as the average number of children who would be born to a woman in her lifetime, has declined for all communities between the 4th National Family Health Survey (NFHS) conducted in 2015-16 and the fifth one in 2019-21. The Total Fertility Rate for Muslim women has significantly reduced from 2.62 to 2.36.
So, India will not become a Muslim majority country.
Will India Become a Islamic Nation by 2050?
According to the PEW report, considering the trends of population, by 2050, Muslims will make up 18.4% and Hindus will make up 76.7%.
As we can see clearly from the data, the birth rate of Muslims is declining and there is no possibility of Muslims overtaking Hindus for next 300 years at least. It must now be clear to you that Muslims making India a Muslim country because of their birth rate is just a myth!
FAQs
Which religion is fastest growing in India?
There is no official data released by Government of India on the fastest growing religion in India. However, according to PEW Research report, Islam may be the fastest growing religion in India by a thin margin. The report also adds that the Growth rates have declined for all of India’s major religious groups like Hindus, Muslims and Christians and in percentage terms, the religious groups have remained relatively stable since Partition.
Can Islam overtake Hinduism in India?
PEW Report projects that by 2050, Muslims will make up only 18.5% of the Indian population, whereas Hindus will make up 76.7% of the Indian population. Considering that the growth rate and fertility rate of Muslims are declining, Islam cannot overtake Hinduism in India.
